Chapter 57
TimeGAN: Time-series Generative Adversarial Networks
TimeGAN: Time-series Generative Adversarial Networks
Docker image: ml4t-gpu
Book Reference: Chapter 5, Section 5.4 (GANs for Financial Time Series)
GPU recommended: This notebook trains models with PyTorch/CUDA. It will run on CPU but training may be very slow. For GPU acceleration:
bashdocker compose run --rm ml4t-gpu python 05_synthetic_data/01_timegan.py
This notebook implements TimeGAN (Yoon, Jarrett & van der Schaar, NeurIPS 2019), the foundational architecture for synthetic financial time series generation.
Learning Objectives
- Understand TimeGAN's five-component architecture and why latent-space training matters
- Implement the three-phase training approach (embedding → supervisor → joint GAN)
- Evaluate synthetic data using the Fidelity-Utility-Privacy framework
- Apply Train-Synthetic-Test-Real (TSTR) validation with proper temporal splits
Why TimeGAN Matters
TimeGAN introduced two key innovations that address limitations of standard GANs:
-
Stepwise Supervised Loss: Standard GANs only learn the overall distribution. TimeGAN adds explicit supervision on temporal transitions (how t → t+1).
-
Learned Embedding Space: Instead of operating directly on raw data, TimeGAN learns a latent representation where adversarial training is more stable.
With 1,800+ citations, TimeGAN remains the baseline against which newer methods are compared.
Data Format
We use 6 stocks (BA, CAT, DIS, GE, IBM, KO) with adjusted close prices, matching the 2nd edition benchmark format. The multi-stock panel exposes the model to a wider distribution of volatility and trend regimes than single-stock OHLCV.
References
- Paper: Yoon, J., Jarrett, D., & van der Schaar, M. (2019). "Time-series Generative Adversarial Networks." NeurIPS 2019.
- Official Code: https://github.com/jsyoon0823/TimeGAN
"""TimeGAN — Time-series Generative Adversarial Networks."""
import json
from datetime import UTC, datetime
from pathlib import Path
import joblib
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import numpy as np
import polars as pl
import torch
import torch.nn as nn
import torch.optim as optim
from IPython.display import Image, display
from sklearn.preprocessing import MinMaxScaler
from timegan_metrics import run_timegan_evaluation
from torch.utils.data import DataLoader, TensorDataset
from tqdm import tqdm
from data import load_us_equities
from utils.paths import get_chapter_dir, get_output_dir
from utils.reproducibility import set_global_seeds
from utils.style import COLORS, plot_fidelity_comparisonTRAIN_STEPS = 10000 # Steps per training phase (matching official repo)
RETRAIN = True # Set True to force re-training even if checkpoint exists
SEED = 42set_global_seeds(SEED)
# Paths
ASSETS_DIR = get_chapter_dir(5) / "assets"
OUTPUT_DIR = get_output_dir(5, "timegan")
CHECKPOINT_DIR = OUTPUT_DIR / "checkpoints" / "timegan" / "multi_stock"# Configuration (matching 2nd edition benchmark)
#
# Data choice rationale: the six-stock panel spans different volatility/trend
# regimes, which gives the embedder a wider feature distribution than the four
# OHLCV columns of a single stock would.
TICKERS = ["BA", "CAT", "DIS", "GE", "IBM", "KO"]
SEQ_LEN = 24
HIDDEN_DIM = 24
NUM_LAYERS = 3
BATCH_SIZE = 128
LEARNING_RATE = 1e-3
device = torch.device("cuda" if torch.cuda.is_available() else "cpu")
print(f"Using device: {device}")Output
Using device: cuda
TimeGAN Architecture
TimeGAN consists of five interconnected modules that operate in a shared latent space:
| Module | Purpose | Training Phase |
|---|---|---|
| Embedder | Maps raw data → latent space | Phase 1 (autoencoder) |
| Recovery | Reconstructs latent → raw data | Phase 1 (autoencoder) |
| Supervisor | Predicts next latent step | Phase 2 (temporal) |
| Generator | Produces latent sequences from noise | Phase 3 (joint GAN) |
| Discriminator | Classifies real vs fake latent sequences | Phase 3 (joint GAN) |
if (ASSETS_DIR / "timegan_architecture.jpeg").exists():
display(Image(ASSETS_DIR / "timegan_architecture.jpeg", width=700))1. Load Data
We use 6 diverse stocks with adjusted close prices. This provides:
- Diverse dynamics: Each stock has different volatility and trends
- Consistent scale: All normalized to [0, 1]
- Learnable patterns: Cross-asset relationships are meaningful
def load_multi_stock_data(
tickers: list[str], start_year: str = "2000"
) -> tuple[np.ndarray, np.ndarray]:
"""Load adjusted close prices for multiple stocks."""
df_pl = load_us_equities()
df_pl = df_pl.filter(pl.col("symbol").is_in(tickers))
# Update tickers to only those actually present in the data
available = df_pl["symbol"].unique().to_list()
tickers = [t for t in tickers if t in available]
if not tickers:
raise ValueError(
f"None of the requested tickers found in data. Available: {available[:10]}"
)
# Pivot to wide format
df = (
df_pl.select(["timestamp", "symbol", "adj_close"])
.pivot(on="symbol", index="timestamp", values="adj_close")
.sort("timestamp")
.to_pandas()
.set_index("timestamp")
.loc[start_year:, tickers] # Ensure column order matches tickers
.dropna()
)
timestamps = df.index.to_numpy()
data = df.values.astype(np.float32)
print(f"Loaded {len(df)} rows, {len(tickers)} stocks")
print(f"Date range: {timestamps[0]} to {timestamps[-1]}")
print(f"Stocks: {', '.join(tickers)}")
return data, timestampsall_data, all_timestamps = load_multi_stock_data(TICKERS)
n_features = all_data.shape[1] # Actual number of stocks found (may differ from TICKERS)
print(f"Shape: {all_data.shape} (days × stocks)")Output
Loaded 4586 rows, 6 stocks Date range: 2000-01-03T00:00:00.000 to 2018-03-27T00:00:00.000 Stocks: BA, CAT, DIS, GE, IBM, KO Shape: (4586, 6) (days × stocks)
Temporal Train/Holdout Split
We split temporally to enable unbiased TSTR evaluation. The generator never sees holdout data during training.
# Use last 20% as holdout
n_train = int(len(all_data) * 0.8)
train_data = all_data[:n_train]
holdout_data = all_data[n_train:]
train_timestamps = all_timestamps[:n_train]
holdout_timestamps = all_timestamps[n_train:]
print(f"Training: {len(train_data):,} days ({train_timestamps[0]} to {train_timestamps[-1]})")
print(
f"Holdout: {len(holdout_data):,} days ({holdout_timestamps[0]} to {holdout_timestamps[-1]})"
)Output
Training: 3,668 days (2000-01-03T00:00:00.000 to 2014-08-01T00:00:00.000) Holdout: 918 days (2014-08-04T00:00:00.000 to 2018-03-27T00:00:00.000)
2. Normalize and Create Sequences
# Normalize to [0, 1] using MinMaxScaler (matching 2nd edition)
scaler = MinMaxScaler()
train_scaled = scaler.fit_transform(train_data).astype(np.float32)
holdout_scaled = scaler.transform(holdout_data).astype(np.float32)
print(f"Scaled data range: [{train_scaled.min():.4f}, {train_scaled.max():.4f}]")Output
Scaled data range: [0.0000, 1.0000]
def create_sequences(data: np.ndarray, seq_length: int) -> np.ndarray:
"""Create overlapping sequences from time series data."""
sequences = []
for i in range(len(data) - seq_length):
sequences.append(data[i : i + seq_length])
return np.array(sequences, dtype=np.float32)sequences = create_sequences(train_scaled, SEQ_LEN)
holdout_sequences = create_sequences(holdout_scaled, SEQ_LEN)
print(f"Created {len(sequences)} training sequences of length {SEQ_LEN}")
print(f"Created {len(holdout_sequences)} holdout sequences for TSTR")
# DataLoader
dataset = TensorDataset(torch.from_numpy(sequences))
dataloader = DataLoader(dataset, batch_size=BATCH_SIZE, shuffle=True)Output
Created 3644 training sequences of length 24 Created 894 holdout sequences for TSTR
3. Model Components
We use ModuleList with separate GRU layers to match TensorFlow's layer-by-layer construction exactly. This ensures consistent behavior with the official implementation.
class Embedder(nn.Module):
"""Maps raw sequences to latent space. Stacked GRU layers + Dense with sigmoid."""
def __init__(self, input_dim: int, hidden_dim: int, num_layers: int):
super().__init__()
# Stack GRU layers manually to match TF behavior exactly
self.gru_layers = nn.ModuleList()
for i in range(num_layers):
in_dim = input_dim if i == 0 else hidden_dim
self.gru_layers.append(nn.GRU(in_dim, hidden_dim, batch_first=True))
self.fc = nn.Linear(hidden_dim, hidden_dim)
def forward(self, x: torch.Tensor) -> torch.Tensor:
h = x
for gru in self.gru_layers:
h, _ = gru(h)
return torch.sigmoid(self.fc(h))class Recovery(nn.Module):
"""Reconstructs sequences from latent space."""
def __init__(self, hidden_dim: int, output_dim: int, num_layers: int):
super().__init__()
self.gru_layers = nn.ModuleList()
for _ in range(num_layers):
self.gru_layers.append(nn.GRU(hidden_dim, hidden_dim, batch_first=True))
self.fc = nn.Linear(hidden_dim, output_dim)
def forward(self, h: torch.Tensor) -> torch.Tensor:
x = h
for gru in self.gru_layers:
x, _ = gru(x)
return torch.sigmoid(self.fc(x))class Supervisor(nn.Module):
"""Predicts next latent step. Uses num_layers-1 layers."""
def __init__(self, hidden_dim: int, num_layers: int):
super().__init__()
supervisor_layers = max(1, num_layers - 1)
self.gru_layers = nn.ModuleList()
for _ in range(supervisor_layers):
self.gru_layers.append(nn.GRU(hidden_dim, hidden_dim, batch_first=True))
self.fc = nn.Linear(hidden_dim, hidden_dim)
def forward(self, h: torch.Tensor) -> torch.Tensor:
s = h
for gru in self.gru_layers:
s, _ = gru(s)
return torch.sigmoid(self.fc(s))class Generator(nn.Module):
"""Generates latent sequences from noise."""
def __init__(self, input_dim: int, hidden_dim: int, num_layers: int):
super().__init__()
self.gru_layers = nn.ModuleList()
for i in range(num_layers):
in_dim = input_dim if i == 0 else hidden_dim
self.gru_layers.append(nn.GRU(in_dim, hidden_dim, batch_first=True))
self.fc = nn.Linear(hidden_dim, hidden_dim)
def forward(self, z: torch.Tensor) -> torch.Tensor:
e = z
for gru in self.gru_layers:
e, _ = gru(e)
return torch.sigmoid(self.fc(e))class Discriminator(nn.Module):
"""Classifies real vs fake latent sequences."""
def __init__(self, hidden_dim: int, num_layers: int):
super().__init__()
self.gru_layers = nn.ModuleList()
for _ in range(num_layers):
self.gru_layers.append(nn.GRU(hidden_dim, hidden_dim, batch_first=True))
self.fc = nn.Linear(hidden_dim, 1)
def forward(self, h: torch.Tensor) -> torch.Tensor:
y = h
for gru in self.gru_layers:
y, _ = gru(y)
return torch.sigmoid(self.fc(y))4. Initialize Models
embedder = Embedder(n_features, HIDDEN_DIM, NUM_LAYERS).to(device)
recovery = Recovery(HIDDEN_DIM, n_features, NUM_LAYERS).to(device)
supervisor = Supervisor(HIDDEN_DIM, NUM_LAYERS).to(device)
generator = Generator(n_features, HIDDEN_DIM, NUM_LAYERS).to(device)
discriminator = Discriminator(HIDDEN_DIM, NUM_LAYERS).to(device)
def count_params(model):
return sum(p.numel() for p in model.parameters() if p.requires_grad)
print("Model Parameters:")
print(f" Embedder: {count_params(embedder):,}")
print(f" Recovery: {count_params(recovery):,}")
print(f" Supervisor: {count_params(supervisor):,}")
print(f" Generator: {count_params(generator):,}")
print(f" Discriminator: {count_params(discriminator):,}")
total_params = sum(
count_params(m) for m in [embedder, recovery, supervisor, generator, discriminator]
)
print(f" Total: {total_params:,}")Output
Model Parameters: Embedder: 10,104 Recovery: 10,950 Supervisor: 7,800 Generator: 10,104 Discriminator: 10,825 Total: 49,783
# Check for existing checkpoint
CHECKPOINT_PATH = CHECKPOINT_DIR / "checkpoint.pt"
SKIP_TRAINING = False
if CHECKPOINT_PATH.exists() and not RETRAIN:
print(f"Loading checkpoint from {CHECKPOINT_PATH}")
checkpoint = torch.load(CHECKPOINT_PATH, map_location=device, weights_only=False)
embedder.load_state_dict(checkpoint["embedder"])
recovery.load_state_dict(checkpoint["recovery"])
supervisor.load_state_dict(checkpoint["supervisor"])
generator.load_state_dict(checkpoint["generator"])
discriminator.load_state_dict(checkpoint["discriminator"])
print("Checkpoint loaded - skipping training")
SKIP_TRAINING = TrueThree-Phase Training
TimeGAN uses a sequential training approach with step-based iteration (matching the official implementation):
- Embedding Phase: Train Embedder + Recovery as autoencoder
- Supervisor Phase: Train Supervisor to predict next latent step
- Joint Phase: Train Generator + Discriminator adversarially
if (ASSETS_DIR / "timegan_training.jpeg").exists():
display(Image(ASSETS_DIR / "timegan_training.jpeg", width=800))5. Phase 1: Embedding Training
Train Embedder + Recovery as autoencoder with loss:
if not SKIP_TRAINING:
print("\n" + "=" * 60)
print("PHASE 1: Autoencoder Training")
print("=" * 60)
opt_autoencoder = optim.Adam(
list(embedder.parameters()) + list(recovery.parameters()),
lr=LEARNING_RATE,
)
mse_loss = nn.MSELoss()
# Infinite iterator for step-based training
def infinite_dataloader():
while True:
yield from dataloader
data_iter = infinite_dataloader()
embedding_losses = []
for step in tqdm(range(TRAIN_STEPS), desc="Phase 1"):
(batch,) = next(data_iter)
batch = batch.to(device)
h = embedder(batch)
x_tilde = recovery(h)
# Loss: 10 * sqrt(MSE) - matching 2nd edition exactly
embedding_loss = mse_loss(x_tilde, batch)
e_loss = 10.0 * torch.sqrt(embedding_loss)
opt_autoencoder.zero_grad()
e_loss.backward()
opt_autoencoder.step()
if step % 1000 == 0:
embedding_losses.append(torch.sqrt(embedding_loss).item())
print(f" Step {step}: loss = {embedding_losses[-1]:.6f}", flush=True)
print(f"Phase 1 complete. Final loss: {embedding_losses[-1]:.6f}")Output
============================================================ PHASE 1: Autoencoder Training ============================================================
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Step 1000: loss = 0.057189
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Step 2000: loss = 0.046126
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Step 5000: loss = 0.026226
Phase 1: 50%|█████ | 5029/10000 [00:13<00:13, 359.15it/s]
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Step 6000: loss = 0.023576
Phase 1: 60%|██████ | 6027/10000 [00:16<00:09, 398.67it/s]
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Step 7000: loss = 0.021318
Phase 1: 70%|███████ | 7035/10000 [00:18<00:09, 319.43it/s]
Phase 1: 71%|███████ | 7071/10000 [00:18<00:09, 311.55it/s]
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Step 8000: loss = 0.019666
Phase 1: 80%|████████ | 8028/10000 [00:21<00:05, 393.25it/s]
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Step 9000: loss = 0.018334
Phase 1: 90%|█████████ | 9021/10000 [00:23<00:03, 264.64it/s]
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Phase 1: 100%|██████████| 10000/10000 [00:26<00:00, 374.50it/s]
Phase 1 complete. Final loss: 0.018334
6. Phase 2: Supervisor Training
Train Supervisor to predict next latent step:
if not SKIP_TRAINING:
print("\n" + "=" * 60)
print("PHASE 2: Supervisor Training")
print("=" * 60)
opt_supervisor = optim.Adam(supervisor.parameters(), lr=LEARNING_RATE)
supervisor_losses = []
for step in tqdm(range(TRAIN_STEPS), desc="Phase 2"):
(batch,) = next(data_iter)
batch = batch.to(device)
with torch.no_grad():
h = embedder(batch)
h_hat = supervisor(h)
g_loss_s = mse_loss(h[:, 1:, :], h_hat[:, :-1, :])
opt_supervisor.zero_grad()
g_loss_s.backward()
opt_supervisor.step()
if step % 1000 == 0:
supervisor_losses.append(g_loss_s.item())
print(f" Step {step}: loss = {g_loss_s.item():.6f}", flush=True)
print(f"Phase 2 complete. Final loss: {supervisor_losses[-1]:.6f}")Output
============================================================ PHASE 2: Supervisor Training ============================================================
Phase 2: 0%| | 0/10000 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Step 0: loss = 0.062222
Phase 2: 1%| | 56/10000 [00:00<00:17, 553.19it/s]
Phase 2: 1%| | 112/10000 [00:00<00:18, 545.18it/s]
Phase 2: 2%|▏ | 181/10000 [00:00<00:16, 607.73it/s]
Phase 2: 2%|▏ | 246/10000 [00:00<00:15, 623.54it/s]
Phase 2: 3%|▎ | 310/10000 [00:00<00:15, 627.31it/s]
Phase 2: 4%|▎ | 373/10000 [00:00<00:15, 607.42it/s]
Phase 2: 4%|▍ | 434/10000 [00:00<00:16, 585.27it/s]
Phase 2: 5%|▌ | 502/10000 [00:00<00:15, 613.79it/s]
Phase 2: 6%|▌ | 574/10000 [00:00<00:14, 645.35it/s]
Phase 2: 6%|▋ | 643/10000 [00:01<00:14, 657.94it/s]
Phase 2: 7%|▋ | 710/10000 [00:01<00:14, 637.08it/s]
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Phase 2: 8%|▊ | 841/10000 [00:01<00:14, 620.16it/s]
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Phase 2: 10%|▉ | 986/10000 [00:01<00:13, 668.12it/s]
Step 1000: loss = 0.000380
Phase 2: 11%|█ | 1054/10000 [00:01<00:13, 660.91it/s]
Phase 2: 11%|█▏ | 1125/10000 [00:01<00:13, 673.03it/s]
Phase 2: 12%|█▏ | 1193/10000 [00:01<00:13, 672.93it/s]
Phase 2: 13%|█▎ | 1261/10000 [00:01<00:12, 674.57it/s]
Phase 2: 13%|█▎ | 1329/10000 [00:02<00:12, 672.55it/s]
Phase 2: 14%|█▍ | 1397/10000 [00:02<00:12, 671.61it/s]
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Phase 2: 16%|█▌ | 1601/10000 [00:02<00:12, 670.65it/s]
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Phase 2: 17%|█▋ | 1738/10000 [00:02<00:12, 651.86it/s]
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Phase 2: 19%|█▉ | 1943/10000 [00:02<00:12, 669.31it/s]
Step 2000: loss = 0.000161
Phase 2: 20%|██ | 2011/10000 [00:03<00:11, 669.96it/s]
Phase 2: 21%|██ | 2079/10000 [00:03<00:11, 671.70it/s]
Phase 2: 21%|██▏ | 2147/10000 [00:03<00:11, 673.08it/s]
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Phase 2: 24%|██▎ | 2351/10000 [00:03<00:11, 674.93it/s]
Phase 2: 24%|██▍ | 2419/10000 [00:03<00:11, 675.19it/s]
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Phase 2: 27%|██▋ | 2677/10000 [00:04<00:12, 605.06it/s]
Phase 2: 27%|██▋ | 2743/10000 [00:04<00:11, 619.58it/s]
Phase 2: 28%|██▊ | 2806/10000 [00:04<00:12, 560.85it/s]
Phase 2: 29%|██▊ | 2872/10000 [00:04<00:12, 585.50it/s]
Phase 2: 29%|██▉ | 2939/10000 [00:04<00:11, 608.93it/s]
Step 3000: loss = 0.000120
Phase 2: 30%|███ | 3008/10000 [00:04<00:11, 630.46it/s]
Phase 2: 31%|███ | 3076/10000 [00:04<00:10, 644.25it/s]
Phase 2: 31%|███▏ | 3141/10000 [00:04<00:10, 642.17it/s]
Phase 2: 32%|███▏ | 3209/10000 [00:04<00:10, 653.25it/s]
Phase 2: 33%|███▎ | 3280/10000 [00:05<00:10, 669.90it/s]
Phase 2: 34%|███▎ | 3352/10000 [00:05<00:09, 683.31it/s]
Phase 2: 34%|███▍ | 3423/10000 [00:05<00:09, 691.15it/s]
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Phase 2: 36%|███▋ | 3639/10000 [00:05<00:09, 705.61it/s]
Phase 2: 37%|███▋ | 3711/10000 [00:05<00:08, 708.91it/s]
Phase 2: 38%|███▊ | 3782/10000 [00:05<00:09, 683.54it/s]
Phase 2: 39%|███▊ | 3851/10000 [00:05<00:09, 682.67it/s]
Phase 2: 39%|███▉ | 3920/10000 [00:06<00:08, 681.18it/s]
Phase 2: 40%|███▉ | 3989/10000 [00:06<00:08, 679.61it/s]
Step 4000: loss = 0.000089
Phase 2: 41%|████ | 4059/10000 [00:06<00:08, 685.21it/s]
Phase 2: 41%|████▏ | 4131/10000 [00:06<00:08, 693.62it/s]
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Phase 2: 49%|████▉ | 4885/10000 [00:07<00:07, 677.97it/s]
Phase 2: 50%|████▉ | 4953/10000 [00:07<00:07, 675.97it/s]
Step 5000: loss = 0.000087
Phase 2: 50%|█████ | 5021/10000 [00:07<00:07, 667.37it/s]
Phase 2: 51%|█████ | 5089/10000 [00:07<00:07, 668.32it/s]
Phase 2: 52%|█████▏ | 5156/10000 [00:07<00:07, 665.73it/s]
Phase 2: 52%|█████▏ | 5223/10000 [00:07<00:07, 648.43it/s]
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Phase 2: 54%|█████▎ | 5359/10000 [00:08<00:07, 661.86it/s]
Phase 2: 54%|█████▍ | 5427/10000 [00:08<00:06, 666.34it/s]
Phase 2: 55%|█████▍ | 5495/10000 [00:08<00:06, 670.06it/s]
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Phase 2: 56%|█████▋ | 5631/10000 [00:08<00:06, 662.80it/s]
Phase 2: 57%|█████▋ | 5698/10000 [00:08<00:06, 641.37it/s]
Phase 2: 58%|█████▊ | 5767/10000 [00:08<00:06, 653.62it/s]
Phase 2: 58%|█████▊ | 5833/10000 [00:08<00:06, 650.46it/s]
Phase 2: 59%|█████▉ | 5900/10000 [00:08<00:06, 654.47it/s]
Phase 2: 60%|█████▉ | 5966/10000 [00:09<00:08, 482.59it/s]
Step 6000: loss = 0.000072
Phase 2: 60%|██████ | 6030/10000 [00:09<00:07, 519.11it/s]
Phase 2: 61%|██████ | 6088/10000 [00:09<00:07, 532.13it/s]
Phase 2: 62%|██████▏ | 6157/10000 [00:09<00:06, 571.73it/s]
Phase 2: 62%|██████▏ | 6225/10000 [00:09<00:06, 599.77it/s]
Phase 2: 63%|██████▎ | 6296/10000 [00:09<00:05, 628.96it/s]
Phase 2: 64%|██████▎ | 6361/10000 [00:09<00:06, 597.02it/s]
Phase 2: 64%|██████▍ | 6425/10000 [00:09<00:05, 605.08it/s]
Phase 2: 65%|██████▍ | 6487/10000 [00:10<00:05, 591.65it/s]
Phase 2: 66%|██████▌ | 6558/10000 [00:10<00:05, 624.26it/s]
Phase 2: 66%|██████▌ | 6623/10000 [00:10<00:05, 631.27it/s]
Phase 2: 67%|██████▋ | 6693/10000 [00:10<00:05, 649.21it/s]
Phase 2: 68%|██████▊ | 6759/10000 [00:10<00:05, 543.86it/s]
Phase 2: 68%|██████▊ | 6826/10000 [00:10<00:05, 574.55it/s]
Phase 2: 69%|██████▉ | 6895/10000 [00:10<00:05, 603.85it/s]
Phase 2: 70%|██████▉ | 6964/10000 [00:10<00:04, 625.43it/s]
Step 7000: loss = 0.000077
Phase 2: 70%|███████ | 7029/10000 [00:10<00:04, 629.08it/s]
Phase 2: 71%|███████ | 7094/10000 [00:11<00:04, 633.28it/s]
Phase 2: 72%|███████▏ | 7165/10000 [00:11<00:04, 653.63it/s]
Phase 2: 72%|███████▏ | 7232/10000 [00:11<00:04, 658.21it/s]
Phase 2: 73%|███████▎ | 7299/10000 [00:11<00:04, 652.46it/s]
Phase 2: 74%|███████▎ | 7366/10000 [00:11<00:04, 653.64it/s]
Phase 2: 74%|███████▍ | 7432/10000 [00:11<00:04, 560.72it/s]
Phase 2: 75%|███████▍ | 7491/10000 [00:11<00:04, 504.59it/s]
Phase 2: 76%|███████▌ | 7554/10000 [00:11<00:04, 534.77it/s]
Phase 2: 76%|███████▌ | 7616/10000 [00:11<00:04, 556.67it/s]
Phase 2: 77%|███████▋ | 7674/10000 [00:12<00:04, 562.22it/s]
Phase 2: 77%|███████▋ | 7742/10000 [00:12<00:03, 594.58it/s]
Phase 2: 78%|███████▊ | 7809/10000 [00:12<00:03, 614.97it/s]
Phase 2: 79%|███████▊ | 7872/10000 [00:12<00:03, 582.67it/s]
Phase 2: 79%|███████▉ | 7938/10000 [00:12<00:03, 603.01it/s]
Step 8000: loss = 0.000060
Phase 2: 80%|████████ | 8009/10000 [00:12<00:03, 631.87it/s]
Phase 2: 81%|████████ | 8074/10000 [00:12<00:03, 635.77it/s]
Phase 2: 81%|████████▏ | 8139/10000 [00:12<00:02, 628.04it/s]
Phase 2: 82%|████████▏ | 8208/10000 [00:12<00:02, 643.35it/s]
Phase 2: 83%|████████▎ | 8273/10000 [00:12<00:02, 635.49it/s]
Phase 2: 83%|████████▎ | 8337/10000 [00:13<00:03, 512.18it/s]
Phase 2: 84%|████████▍ | 8403/10000 [00:13<00:02, 548.43it/s]
Phase 2: 85%|████████▍ | 8472/10000 [00:13<00:02, 585.67it/s]
Phase 2: 85%|████████▌ | 8541/10000 [00:13<00:02, 612.59it/s]
Phase 2: 86%|████████▌ | 8611/10000 [00:13<00:02, 636.87it/s]
Phase 2: 87%|████████▋ | 8677/10000 [00:13<00:02, 624.31it/s]
Phase 2: 87%|████████▋ | 8741/10000 [00:13<00:02, 610.64it/s]
Phase 2: 88%|████████▊ | 8803/10000 [00:13<00:02, 554.96it/s]
Phase 2: 89%|████████▊ | 8874/10000 [00:14<00:01, 595.12it/s]
Phase 2: 89%|████████▉ | 8939/10000 [00:14<00:01, 609.22it/s]
Step 9000: loss = 0.000059
Phase 2: 90%|█████████ | 9007/10000 [00:14<00:01, 627.79it/s]
Phase 2: 91%|█████████ | 9075/10000 [00:14<00:01, 642.75it/s]
Phase 2: 91%|█████████▏| 9143/10000 [00:14<00:01, 652.08it/s]
Phase 2: 92%|█████████▏| 9211/10000 [00:14<00:01, 659.40it/s]
Phase 2: 93%|█████████▎| 9279/10000 [00:14<00:01, 663.78it/s]
Phase 2: 93%|█████████▎| 9347/10000 [00:14<00:00, 666.86it/s]
Phase 2: 94%|█████████▍| 9414/10000 [00:14<00:00, 666.85it/s]
Phase 2: 95%|█████████▍| 9482/10000 [00:14<00:00, 670.29it/s]
Phase 2: 96%|█████████▌| 9550/10000 [00:15<00:00, 659.23it/s]
Phase 2: 96%|█████████▌| 9617/10000 [00:15<00:00, 654.48it/s]
Phase 2: 97%|█████████▋| 9684/10000 [00:15<00:00, 658.03it/s]
Phase 2: 98%|█████████▊| 9752/10000 [00:15<00:00, 663.10it/s]
Phase 2: 98%|█████████▊| 9820/10000 [00:15<00:00, 666.97it/s]
Phase 2: 99%|█████████▉| 9889/10000 [00:15<00:00, 672.68it/s]
Phase 2: 100%|█████████▉| 9958/10000 [00:15<00:00, 674.81it/s]
Phase 2: 100%|██████████| 10000/10000 [00:15<00:00, 637.59it/s]
Phase 2 complete. Final loss: 0.000059
7. Phase 3: Joint Adversarial Training
Train Generator and Discriminator adversarially while maintaining reconstruction and supervised losses. Key details:
- 2 generator+embedder updates per discriminator update
- Discriminator gating: only train if loss > 0.15
def get_moment_loss(y_true: torch.Tensor, y_pred: torch.Tensor) -> torch.Tensor:
"""Match first two moments between real and synthetic."""
y_true_mean = y_true.mean(dim=0)
y_pred_mean = y_pred.mean(dim=0)
y_true_var = y_true.var(dim=0)
y_pred_var = y_pred.var(dim=0)
loss_mean = torch.abs(y_true_mean - y_pred_mean).mean()
loss_var = torch.abs(torch.sqrt(y_true_var + 1e-6) - torch.sqrt(y_pred_var + 1e-6)).mean()
return loss_mean + loss_varif not SKIP_TRAINING:
print("\n" + "=" * 60)
print("PHASE 3: Joint Adversarial Training")
print("=" * 60)
opt_generator = optim.Adam(
list(generator.parameters()) + list(supervisor.parameters()),
lr=LEARNING_RATE,
)
opt_discriminator = optim.Adam(discriminator.parameters(), lr=LEARNING_RATE)
opt_embedder = optim.Adam(
list(embedder.parameters()) + list(recovery.parameters()),
lr=LEARNING_RATE,
)
bce_loss = nn.BCELoss()
gamma = 1.0
g_losses, d_losses = [], []Output
============================================================ PHASE 3: Joint Adversarial Training ============================================================
if not SKIP_TRAINING:
for step in range(TRAIN_STEPS):
# 2 generator+embedder updates per discriminator update
for _ in range(2):
(batch,) = next(data_iter)
batch = batch.to(device)
batch_size_actual = batch.shape[0]
z = torch.rand(batch_size_actual, SEQ_LEN, n_features, device=device)
# Generator step
opt_generator.zero_grad()
# Generate synthetic latent sequences
e_hat = generator(z)
h_hat = supervisor(e_hat)
# Supervised loss on SYNTHETIC: generator learns temporal coherence
# Predict e_hat[t+1] from e_hat[t], so align e_hat[1:] with h_hat[:-1]
g_loss_s = mse_loss(e_hat[:, 1:, :], h_hat[:, :-1, :])
y_fake = discriminator(h_hat)
y_fake_e = discriminator(e_hat)
g_loss_u = bce_loss(y_fake, torch.ones_like(y_fake))
g_loss_u_e = bce_loss(y_fake_e, torch.ones_like(y_fake_e))
x_hat = recovery(h_hat)
g_loss_v = get_moment_loss(batch, x_hat)
g_loss = g_loss_u + g_loss_u_e + 100.0 * torch.sqrt(g_loss_s) + 100.0 * g_loss_v
g_loss.backward()
opt_generator.step()
# Embedder step
opt_embedder.zero_grad()
h = embedder(batch)
h_hat_sup = supervisor(h)
# Supervised loss: predict h[t+1] from h[t], so align h[1:] with h_hat_sup[:-1]
g_loss_s = mse_loss(h[:, 1:, :], h_hat_sup[:, :-1, :])
x_tilde = recovery(h)
e_loss_t0 = mse_loss(x_tilde, batch)
e_loss = 10.0 * torch.sqrt(e_loss_t0) + 0.1 * g_loss_s
e_loss.backward()
opt_embedder.step()
# Discriminator step (with gating)
(batch,) = next(data_iter)
batch = batch.to(device)
batch_size_actual = batch.shape[0]
z = torch.rand(batch_size_actual, SEQ_LEN, n_features, device=device)
with torch.no_grad():
h = embedder(batch)
e_hat = generator(z)
h_hat = supervisor(e_hat)
y_real = discriminator(h)
y_fake = discriminator(h_hat)
y_fake_e = discriminator(e_hat)
d_loss_real = bce_loss(y_real, torch.ones_like(y_real))
d_loss_fake = bce_loss(y_fake, torch.zeros_like(y_fake))
d_loss_fake_e = bce_loss(y_fake_e, torch.zeros_like(y_fake_e))
d_loss = d_loss_real + d_loss_fake + gamma * d_loss_fake_e
# Gating: only train if loss > 0.15
if d_loss.item() > 0.15:
opt_discriminator.zero_grad()
d_loss.backward()
opt_discriminator.step()
if step % 1000 == 0:
g_losses.append(g_loss.item())
d_losses.append(d_loss.item())
print(
f" Step {step:6,}: D={d_loss.item():.4f}, G={g_loss.item():.4f}, "
f"g_s={g_loss_s.item():.4f}, g_v={g_loss_v.item():.4f}",
flush=True,
)
print(f"Phase 3 complete. Final D={d_losses[-1]:.4f}, G={g_losses[-1]:.4f}")Output
Step 0: D=2.1530, G=43.4782, g_s=0.0011, g_v=0.2834
Step 1,000: D=1.0556, G=10.1095, g_s=0.0102, g_v=0.0450
Step 2,000: D=1.5774, G=8.9707, g_s=0.0057, g_v=0.0528
Step 3,000: D=1.4850, G=7.9956, g_s=0.0047, g_v=0.0378
Step 4,000: D=1.4734, G=7.6414, g_s=0.0037, g_v=0.0360
Step 5,000: D=1.1408, G=10.1235, g_s=0.0031, g_v=0.0469
Step 6,000: D=1.5352, G=10.0777, g_s=0.0041, g_v=0.0476
Step 7,000: D=1.1690, G=7.7203, g_s=0.0041, g_v=0.0305
Step 8,000: D=1.5861, G=7.8996, g_s=0.0024, g_v=0.0363
Step 9,000: D=1.2711, G=9.0630, g_s=0.0022, g_v=0.0435
Phase 3 complete. Final D=1.2711, G=9.0630
8. Generate Synthetic Data
print("\n=== Generating Synthetic Data ===")
generator.eval()
supervisor.eval()
recovery.eval()
n_synthetic = len(sequences)
generated_batches = []
with torch.no_grad():
for i in range(0, n_synthetic, BATCH_SIZE):
batch_size = min(BATCH_SIZE, n_synthetic - i)
z = torch.rand(batch_size, SEQ_LEN, n_features, device=device)
e_hat = generator(z)
h_hat = supervisor(e_hat)
x_hat = recovery(h_hat)
generated_batches.append(x_hat.cpu().numpy())
synthetic = np.vstack(generated_batches)
print(f"Generated {len(synthetic)} synthetic sequences")
print(f"Synthetic mean: {synthetic.mean():.4f} (real: {sequences.mean():.4f})")
print(f"Synthetic std: {synthetic.std():.4f} (real: {sequences.std():.4f})")Output
=== Generating Synthetic Data === Generated 3644 synthetic sequences Synthetic mean: 0.3761 (real: 0.3660) Synthetic std: 0.2532 (real: 0.2496)
9. Evaluation
We evaluate using the Fidelity-Utility-Privacy framework with LSTM-based evaluation matching the original paper.
9.1 Diversity: PCA and t-SNE Visualization
fig = plot_fidelity_comparison(
sequences, synthetic, title="TimeGAN: Real vs Synthetic Distribution", n_samples=1000
)
plt.show()Output
utils/style.py:764: UserWarning: The figure layout has changed to tight plt.tight_layout()
<Figure size 1200x500 with 2 Axes>
[省略较大 image/png 输出]
9.2 Paper Evaluation Suite (LSTM-based)
Run the full evaluation following Yoon et al. (2019) using LSTM predictors and discriminators, not tree-based models.
print("=" * 70)
print("TIMEGAN EVALUATION SUITE")
print("=" * 70)
# Evaluation settings per EXPERIMENTS.md:
# - hidden_dim=input_dim (small classifier to avoid overfitting)
# - epochs_disc=250 (matches benchmark)
eval_results = run_timegan_evaluation(
synthetic=synthetic,
real_train=sequences,
real_holdout=holdout_sequences,
hidden_dim=n_features, # Must match input_dim for fair evaluation
epochs_disc=250, # Per benchmark experiments
quick_test=(TRAIN_STEPS < 1000),
verbose=True,
include_yoon=True,
)
disc_accuracy = eval_results["discriminative"]["accuracy"]
tstr_ratio = eval_results["predictive"]["ratio"]
print("\n" + "=" * 70)
print("SUMMARY")
print("=" * 70)
print(f"Discriminative Accuracy: {disc_accuracy:.1%} (target: ~50%)")
print(f"TSTR Ratio: {tstr_ratio:.3f} (target: ~1.0)")Output
====================================================================== TIMEGAN EVALUATION SUITE ====================================================================== ============================================================ TimeGAN Evaluation Suite ============================================================ Reference: Yoon et al., NeurIPS 2019, Section 5.2 1. YOON PREDICTIVE SCORE ---------------------------------------- (Last-feature prediction per Yoon et al.) Predictive Score (Yoon et al.) Features: 5 input → 1 output (last feature) Iterations: 5000, Batch size: 128
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.272]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.249]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.259]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.275]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.269]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.266]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.268]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.237]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.261]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.261]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.258]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.268]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.265]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.271]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.277]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.255]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.262]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.264]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.264]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.252]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.251]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.269]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.239]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.257]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.231]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.264]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.263]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.243]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.275]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.249]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.245]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.27]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.263]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.249]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.26]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.257]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.232]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.245]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.238]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.252]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.239]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.25]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.238]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.245]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.229]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.242]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.24]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.241]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.249]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.231]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.246]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.23]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.248]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.237]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.238]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.248]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.252]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.246]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.231]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.237]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.241]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.233]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.236]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.242]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.228]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.263]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.222]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.236]
Yoon Predictive: 0%| | 0/5000 [00:00<?, ?it/s, loss=0.231]
Yoon Predictive: 1%|▏ | 69/5000 [00:00<00:07, 686.75it/s, loss=0.231]
Yoon Predictive: 1%|▏ | 69/5000 [00:00<00:07, 686.75it/s, loss=0.224]
Yoon Predictive: 1%|▏ | 69/5000 [00:00<00:07, 686.75it/s, loss=0.247]
Yoon Predictive: 1%|▏ | 69/5000 [00:00<00:07, 686.75it/s, loss=0.232]
Yoon Predictive: 1%|▏ | 69/5000 [00:00<00:07, 686.75it/s, loss=0.229]
Yoon Predictive: 1%|▏ | 69/5000 [00:00<00:07, 686.75it/s, loss=0.238]
Yoon Predictive: 1%|▏ | 69/5000 [00:00<00:07, 686.75it/s, loss=0.243]
Yoon Predictive: 1%|▏ | 69/5000 [00:00<00:07, 686.75it/s, loss=0.227]
Yoon Predictive: 1%|▏ | 69/5000 [00:00<00:07, 686.75it/s, loss=0.223]
Yoon Predictive: 1%|▏ | 69/5000 [00:00<00:07, 686.75it/s, loss=0.217]
Yoon Predictive: 1%|▏ | 69/5000 [00:00<00:07, 686.75it/s, loss=0.221]
Yoon Predictive: 1%|▏ | 69/5000 [00:00<00:07, 686.75it/s, loss=0.226]
Yoon Predictive: 1%|▏ | 69/5000 [00:00<00:07, 686.75it/s, loss=0.247]
Yoon Predictive: 1%|▏ | 69/5000 [00:00<00:07, 686.75it/s, loss=0.237]
Yoon Predictive: 1%|▏ | 69/5000 [00:00<00:07, 686.75it/s, loss=0.221]
Yoon Predictive: 1%|▏ | 69/5000 [00:00<00:07, 686.75it/s, loss=0.21]
Yoon Predictive: 1%|▏ | 69/5000 [00:00<00:07, 686.75it/s, loss=0.223]
Yoon Predictive: 1%|▏ | 69/5000 [00:00<00:07, 686.75it/s, loss=0.229]
Yoon Predictive: 1%|▏ | 69/5000 [00:00<00:07, 686.75it/s, loss=0.246]
Yoon Predictive: 1%|▏ | 69/5000 [00:00<00:07, 686.75it/s, loss=0.239]
Yoon Predictive: 1%|▏ | 69/5000 [00:00<00:07, 686.75it/s, loss=0.225]
Yoon Predictive: 1%|▏ | 69/5000 [00:00<00:07, 686.75it/s, loss=0.229]
Yoon Predictive: 1%|▏ | 69/5000 [00:00<00:07, 686.75it/s, loss=0.228]
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Yoon Predictive: 11%|█ | 549/5000 [00:00<00:06, 688.56it/s, loss=0.0442]
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Yoon Predictive: 15%|█▌ | 764/5000 [00:01<00:06, 671.60it/s, loss=0.0295]
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Yoon Predictive: 18%|█▊ | 900/5000 [00:01<00:06, 664.03it/s, loss=0.0251]
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Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0143]
Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0146]
Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0193]
Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0163]
Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0156]
Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0168]
Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0159]
Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0142]
Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0175]
Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0149]
Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0155]
Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0156]
Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0162]
Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0169]
Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0175]
Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0182]
Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0158]
Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0176]
Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0159]
Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0207]
Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0161]
Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0183]
Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0166]
Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0137]
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Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0148]
Yoon Predictive: 59%|█████▉ | 2948/5000 [00:04<00:03, 656.71it/s, loss=0.0144]
Yoon Predictive …
[输出过长,已省略]
9.3 Training Curves
if not SKIP_TRAINING and embedding_losses:
fig, axes = plt.subplots(1, 3, figsize=(14, 4))
axes[0].plot(embedding_losses, color=COLORS["blue"], linewidth=1.5)
axes[0].set_title("Phase 1: Embedding")
axes[0].set_xlabel("Step (×1000)")
axes[0].set_ylabel("Loss")
axes[1].plot(supervisor_losses, color=COLORS["blue"], linewidth=1.5)
axes[1].set_title("Phase 2: Supervisor")
axes[1].set_xlabel("Step (×1000)")
axes[2].plot(g_losses, label="Generator", color=COLORS["blue"], linewidth=1.5)
axes[2].plot(d_losses, label="Discriminator", color=COLORS["amber"], linewidth=1.5)
axes[2].set_title("Phase 3: Joint")
axes[2].set_xlabel("Step (×1000)")
axes[2].legend()
fig.suptitle("TimeGAN Training Progress", fontsize=14, fontweight="semibold")
plt.tight_layout()
plt.show()Output
/tmp/ipykernel_70/2034406625.py:20: UserWarning: The figure layout has changed to tight plt.tight_layout()
<Figure size 1400x400 with 3 Axes>
10. Save Outputs
CHECKPOINT_DIR.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
# Save checkpoint
checkpoint = {
"embedder": embedder.state_dict(),
"recovery": recovery.state_dict(),
"supervisor": supervisor.state_dict(),
"generator": generator.state_dict(),
"discriminator": discriminator.state_dict(),
"config": {
"tickers": TICKERS,
"seq_len": SEQ_LEN,
"hidden_dim": HIDDEN_DIM,
"num_layers": NUM_LAYERS,
"train_steps": TRAIN_STEPS,
},
}
torch.save(checkpoint, CHECKPOINT_PATH)
# Save scaler for denormalization
joblib.dump(scaler, CHECKPOINT_DIR / "scaler.pkl")Output
['05_synthetic_data/output/timegan/checkpoints/timegan/multi_stock/scaler.pkl']
# Save metadata
metadata = {
"generator": "timegan",
"paper": "Yoon et al., NeurIPS 2019",
"created_at": datetime.now(UTC).isoformat(),
"data_format": "multi_stock_adj_close",
"tickers": TICKERS,
"config": {
"seq_len": SEQ_LEN,
"hidden_dim": HIDDEN_DIM,
"num_layers": NUM_LAYERS,
"train_steps": TRAIN_STEPS,
},
"evaluation": {
"discriminative_accuracy": float(disc_accuracy),
"tstr_ratio": float(tstr_ratio),
},
}
with open(CHECKPOINT_DIR / "metadata.json", "w") as f:
json.dump(metadata, f, indent=2)
# Save samples
np.save(CHECKPOINT_DIR / "synthetic.npy", synthetic)
np.save(CHECKPOINT_DIR / "real_train.npy", sequences)
np.save(CHECKPOINT_DIR / "real_holdout.npy", holdout_sequences)# Persist PCA + t-SNE 2D coordinates so the book-repo Hard Rule 15 script
# (figures/scripts/generate_figure_5_04_timegan_fidelity.py) can re-render
# the publication figure without retraining. Computed here with the same
# parameters plot_fidelity_comparison() uses internally so the inline render
# and the persisted arrays describe the same projection — including the
# legacy global-RNG seeding (np.random.seed + np.random.choice) so the
# subsample indices match the helper's MT19937 sequence rather than the
# PCG64 sequence np.random.default_rng would emit.
from sklearn.decomposition import PCA
from sklearn.manifold import TSNE
_n_viz = min(1000, len(sequences), len(synthetic))
np.random.seed(42)
_idx_real = np.random.choice(len(sequences), _n_viz, replace=False)
_idx_synth = np.random.choice(len(synthetic), _n_viz, replace=False)
_real_flat = sequences[_idx_real].mean(axis=1)
_synth_flat = synthetic[_idx_synth].mean(axis=1)
_pca = PCA(n_components=min(2, _real_flat.shape[1], _n_viz))
_pca.fit(_real_flat)
_real_pca = _pca.transform(_real_flat)
_synth_pca = _pca.transform(_synth_flat)
_combined = np.vstack([_real_flat, _synth_flat])
_tsne = TSNE(
n_components=min(2, _real_flat.shape[1]),
perplexity=min(40, max(2, _n_viz // 4)),
max_iter=1000,
random_state=42,
)
_combined_tsne = _tsne.fit_transform(_combined)
_real_tsne = _combined_tsne[:_n_viz]
_synth_tsne = _combined_tsne[_n_viz:]
np.save(CHECKPOINT_DIR / "fidelity_real_pca.npy", _real_pca)
np.save(CHECKPOINT_DIR / "fidelity_synth_pca.npy", _synth_pca)
np.save(CHECKPOINT_DIR / "fidelity_real_tsne.npy", _real_tsne)
np.save(CHECKPOINT_DIR / "fidelity_synth_tsne.npy", _synth_tsne)
print(f"\nSaved to {CHECKPOINT_DIR}/")Output
Saved to 05_synthetic_data/output/timegan/checkpoints/timegan/multi_stock/
Summary
This notebook implemented TimeGAN (Yoon et al., NeurIPS 2019):
- Data: 6 diverse stocks (BA, CAT, DIS, GE, IBM, KO) with adjusted close
- Architecture: Five-component system with ModuleList GRUs (matching TF)
- Training: Three-phase, step-based approach (10,000 steps per phase)
- Evaluation: LSTM-based discriminative and predictive scores
Key Finding
On the six-stock close-price panel used here, the post-training discriminative accuracy is 67.9% (Yoon et al.'s target is ~50%, where the discriminator cannot tell real from synthetic) and the TSTR/TRTR MAE ratio is 1.76 (target ~1.0). Synthetic sequences match the real distribution moments closely (mean 0.376 vs 0.366, std 0.253 vs 0.250) but the discriminator and TSTR diagnostics show that temporal structure is only partially preserved on this run.
Limitations
TimeGAN focuses on matching overall distribution, not tail risk. For alternatives:
- Tail risk: See
02_tailgan_tail_risk - Path signatures: See
03_sigcwgan_signatures - Diffusion models: See
05_diffusion_ts
